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Plus some healthcare reports worth the read: physician comp trends, MA participation is a margin destroyer, and AI-enabled upcoding woes
Hospitalogy
Blake Madden
Jun 11th, 2026
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Happy Thursday, Hospitalogists.

I’m sharing several interesting reports I recently read as well as a highlight of Abridge’s keynote from today. If you’ve read anything interesting lately that I should consider reading and possibly covering, please let me know.

Enjoy!

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BLAKE'S BREAKDOWN

Abridge’s Keynote and Big Move into Clinical Intelligence

2026 is becoming the year of the clinical intelligence layer

Today Abridge hosted a keynote and announced the launch of its official foray into an enterprise wide system of intelligence.

Early on, Abridge spent its first chapter winning the ambient documentation category — two straight years of Best in KLAS, deployment across 300+ health systems, and 100M+ conversations captured annually across systems serving 250M+ patients. This week in NYC, the company made clear that the scribe was always the wedge, not the destination.

Abridge's keynote shifted the paradigm, unveiling its clinician intelligence platform spanning before, during, and after the visit, along with announcing new deployments, partnerships, and platform adjacencies across the patient visit nucleus:

  • an enterprise-wide rollout with Northwestern Medicine,

  • CDS content collaborations layering ADA, AAFP, AAN, and ASCO onto an existing base of UpToDate, NEJM, and JAMA,

  • a coding-accuracy partnership with AHIMA,

  • VBC alignment with Aetna,

  • real-time claims pilots with Cigna (notably working upstream with payors), and

  • point-of-care clinical trial screening.

Zoom out and we’re seeing the healthcare AI convergence thesis play out. Abridge raised roughly $830M across two rounds in 12 months at a $5.3B valuation, and it isn't alone in chasing the intelligence layer above the EHR. What started as AI scribing has manifested into a race for the intelligence that routes documentation, reimbursement, prior auth, and evidence through increasingly automated workflows.

Whether one company owns that layer or several share it remains open. In 2026, ambient AI stopped being the product and became the front door for grander, enterprise-wide AI ambition.


PHYSICIAN COMPENSATION

MGMA’s Latest Physician Compensation Numbers

MGMA dropped an informative report on physician comp trends, prevalence of various comp models, year over year changes, and more. Definitely worth the AI upload skim. Here were some quick hit takeaways for health systems and provider groups:

  • Pay rose, output fell - across the board. wRVUs declined in 16 of 23 specialties and total encounters fell in all 23, yet median comp still climbed in every grouping (+2.23% primary care, +2.90% surgical, +1.79% nonsurgical). Groups are paying for scarcity, not production.

  • Real pay is basically flat. Against 16.4% cumulative CPI since 2021, surgical specialists broke even, primary care trailed slightly, and nonsurgical specialists lost ground (+11% over 5 years).

  • Upcoding Visit intensity is masking the volume problem. wRVUs-per-encounter rose 16.7% in primary care since 2021 - so, fewer but higher acuity visits cushioned the wRVU decline. But MGMA's own editor's note admits a meaningful chunk of that is mechanical: the 2021 E/M revaluation plus G2211 inflated the ratio independent of actual clinical effort. Interesting dynamic to note.

Source: MGMA

  • The recruiting market cooled at the edges, not the core. Guaranteed comp for new hires dipped (-2.5% PCP, -6.8% nonsurgical), but the early-career surgical market got hit hard: -17.59% in one year for post-residency hires. Signing bonuses remain standard (57.5% of new physician hires), and ~82% of orgs now attach payback clauses.

  • The 2026 efficiency adjustment is the real story for next year. CMS's 2.5% wRVU haircut on ~7,700 non-time-based codes means procedural specialists will record fewer wRVUs for identical work starting Jan 1. Comp-per-wRVU ratios and FMV benchmarks will drift up on paper with zero actual pay changes. Urology, interventional cardiology, diagnostic radiology, and ophthalmology — already brutal recruits — take the deepest cuts.

  • AI's report card is mixed at best. Only 46% of practice leaders say AI tools made providers more productive over 2 years. Ambient scribes are the one clear winner; everything else is complementary at best. Several leaders flat-out said AI cut documentation time and burnout but didn't translate into more visits or revenue.


MEDICARE ADVANTAGE REPORT

Health Systems: MA Is Now a Capital Allocation Decision Not a Growth Strategy

MA participation, as currently structured for most systems, is a margin destroyer dressed up as a market strategy.

A&M's MA Pulse Survey of 30 health system senior executives found 60% seeing declining MA yields, 74% reporting rising denial rates, and 52% dealing with both delayed payments and higher-than-expected utilization eroding their risk-based arrangements. 100% expect moderate to significant financial pressure from MA trends in 2026.

Source: A&M's MA Pulse Survey

What’s interesting about A&M (hate that acronym by the way, gag me) is that this MA dynamic is a portfolio and capital allocation problem, not a payor relations problem. Systems still running the "participate with everyone, manage it better" playbook are implicitly subsidizing payor margins while burning staffing capacity on denial management and prior auth appeals that generate zero clinical value.

As for the response, denial-reduction infrastructure (70%), reduced participation in VBC and risk-sharing arrangements (67%), and coding accuracy investments (60%) lead the pack. But look closer and the data gets kind of existential:

  • 57% are exiting one or more plan relationships entirely,

  • 57% are INCREASING VBC and risk-sharing participation, and

  • another 57% are deepening alignment with a single payor rather than spraying participation across the market.

67% pulling back from risk while 57% lean in. That's bifurcation playing out in real time: half the market retreating to fee-for-service defensibility while the other half concentrates its bets with the payors it actually trusts. This article covering Scripps Health’s Brett Tande and his/their decision to walk away from a chunk of MA contracts feels like a great addendum to the A&M report.

Source: A&M's MA Pulse Survey

A&M lays out a 4-pillar blueprint (intentional portfolio design, VBC with transparent alignment, automated revenue cycle modernization, and redeploying operational capacity), but the report's simplest provocation sits in the middle of it: evaluate every single MA contract on total return. Reimbursement adequacy, authorization burden, denial risk, payment timeliness, utilization profile, required operating capacity. Any contract that doesn't clear the bar gets renegotiated or exited. In other words, treat your payor book the way a portfolio manager treats positions, and cut the losers without sentimentality.

Source: A&M's MA Pulse Survey

Discipline beats scale in this environment. Highly selective systems, deeply aligned with one or two payors, or operating inside vertically integrated models, are the ones stabilizing margins. Everyone else is still playing a game with rules that changed 3 years ago.


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The guide includes a vendor evaluation checklist worth bookmarking and the kind of structured thinking that will help leaders separate enterprise-ready AI from point solutions that will underdeliver.


AI-ENABLED UPCODING RESEARCH

BCBSA: AI May Be Inflating Hospital Bills

New analysis from Blue Health Intelligence puts the spotlight on concerns about AI-enabled upcoding.

Source: Blue Health Intelligence

BHI pulled de-identified claims data from tens of thousands of maternity admissions and found a troubling pattern at hospitals with high AI coding adoption. Diagnoses of acute posthemorrhagic anemia spiked sharply (3%-15%), but the treatment that would typically accompany that diagnosis, blood transfusions, increased only 0.7%-0.9%.

The increase in that single diagnosis alone added $22M to maternity admission costs in one year across the analyzed hospitals.

Additional takeaways:

  • One facility's complexity rating increased 6.7% after announcing its switch to AI coding, compared to just 0.9% among comparable facilities in the same state.

  • BCBSA estimates roughly $663M in inpatient spending may be tied to AI-powered coding tools.

  • At least $1.67B in outpatient spending may be linked to more aggressive AI-enabled coding practices.

  • BCBSA is explicitly flagging that it's building data infrastructure to detect these patterns and establishing expectations for how AI coding tools must align billing with actual care delivered.

For health system and revenue cycle leaders, the full report is worth reading, both for what it signals about payor scrutiny and for what it means for the audit and compliance environment that's likely coming as AI coding tool use grows.


ON YOUR RADAR

  • Resource: Uninsured patient responsibility is up 54% in three years — and two-thirds of the growth is in the hardest-to-collect cohort. Read Cedar's full analysis to see what's driving it.*

  • Breakdown: “At least four states have enacted laws that directly govern how health systems must disclose or limit AI use in clinical care, and dozens more bills are advancing in 2026,” reports Becker’s Health IT. See what Texas, Illinois, California, and Maine have enacted here.

  • Retreat: If you’re a C-suite or VP-level executive at a hospital or health system, it’s time to secure your spot for the Hospitalogy AI Retreat, November 1-4, 2026 in Phoenix! 100 seats available. 3 days. 100% curated. Travel covered. Apply here. And if you’re interested in speaking or have a topic in mind, reply to this email.

*This resource is brought to you by one of my brand partners who help make this newsletter possible!


MISCELLANEOUS MADDENINGS

This weekend I’ll be out in Frankston, Texas playing Pine Dunes, an absolute hidden gem of a course for the annual guys’ golf trip. Money, and more importantly, pride is on the line as 20+ dudes tee up across 4 rounds in match play, Ryder cup style format (no alt shot though - that format is lame). For my fellow golfers, hit ‘em straight this weekend and I’ll report back with the W on Tuesday.

PS - I’d like to give a special shout to my wife who makes this trip possible by graciously watching our son the entire weekend


Thanks for the read! Let me know what you thought by replying back to this email.

— Blake

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