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{/if}Happy Monday, Fintech Fans!
I hope you had a good weekend. Mine was a bit frustrating, due to a combination of a sick kid and a less-than-ideally-played college football game (which, thankfully, still resulted in a win). Sometimes you just have to play through adversity.
We will hope for smoother sailing (and continued wins) this week! - Alex |
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A purely speculative rendering of Robinhood’s business strategy regarding Trump Accounts. |
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#1: Robinhood Should Not be Allowed Anywhere Near Trump Accounts |
Trump accounts — a new type of tax-deferred investment account for children — have become a very attractive opportunity for banks, fintech companies, and brokerages: It took four years—and one important poker game—but a plan to set up investment accounts for young Americans is moving forward. And Wall Street senses an opportunity. All manner of financial institutions are vying for a role in the program, from banks such as JPMorgan Chase to brokerages such as Charles Schwab and Robinhood Markets to money managers including BlackRock. |
Two things on this news. First, I love this idea, and if the cost of getting it to actually happen is to allow them to be called “Trump Accounts,” I’m fine with it.
The accounts can be opened on behalf of children by parents, guardians, or other qualified adults, who can contribute $5,000 per year (employers can cover up to $2,500 of that). Additionally, all eligible children born between 2025 and 2028 will receive a one-time contribution of $1,000 from the federal government. For children under 10 who were born before 2025, some may receive a one-time contribution of $250 (based on their family income level), funded by a charitable gift from Michael and Susan Dell.
The contributions are invested in low-cost stock index funds. They are generally pre-tax or deductible within limits, and withdrawals in adulthood are taxed like a traditional IRA if they’re not for qualifying uses. Those qualified uses may include things like higher education, buying a first home, starting a business, job training, or saving for retirement. However, Treasury Secretary Bessent has made it clear that the funds can be used for anything that the accountholders want, after they turn 18.
Second, we should all be VERY CONCERNED about which companies the federal government chooses to partner with to enable Trump Accounts. These companies’ interest is not in direct revenue generation (the government wants these accounts to be very low cost), but rather in the long-term cross-sell opportunity: Participating financial firms likely would earn lower management fees than their typical rates, but the program would be a potential gateway to acquire millions of new customers the companies hope will stay with them into adulthood and grow their accounts over time.
Robinhood, in particular, has been pursuing this opportunity very aggressively:
“We have given the president and Treasury our assurances that Robinhood can dedicate the technology and capital to making these accounts as robust and intuitive as possible,” Robinhood Chief Executive Vlad Tenev said in a statement. Tenev created a mock-up of what the accounts on his app might look like, and posted on X that the platform was “ready to go.”
Let me state this very clearly: Robinhood should not be allowed anywhere near Trump Accounts.
The whole point of these accounts is to democratize access to stable, long-term, positive-expected-value wealth-building tools, so that children can be put in the best possible position to succeed when they become adults.
Apart from the word “democratize”, does anything I just wrote sound like Robinhood? Do we really want to make it more likely that young adults learn about investing and wealth management through exposure to zero-day option trading, leveraged crypto investing, and prediction markets? To be blunt, Robinhood traffics in addiction. We cannot allow Trump Accounts (which are a genuinely great thing!) to become a pipeline for creating more speculation addicts. |
#2: Is Socure Becoming a Credit Bureau? |
Socure is making an interesting acquisition:
Socure acquired Qlarifi to establish what it called “the industry’s first unified identity, anti-fraud and BNPL credit infrastructure.”
The combination brings together Socure’s artificial intelligence-first platform for global identity, compliance and risk decisioning and Qlarifi’s real-time buy now, pay later (BNPL) consumer credit database, the companies said in a Friday (Dec. 5) press release. The infrastructure created by the acquisition will enable consumers to build credit through BNPL repayment, reduce lenders’ and merchants’ first-party fraud losses, and provide regulators with transparency and reporting, according to the release.
It will also enable lenders to validate that the applicant is the same real person across multiple BNPL providers, identify cross-provider loan stacking and overextension, reduce first-party fraud losses, enable thin-file consumers to access credit and lower fraud-driven payment costs for merchants, per the release.
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I’ll start with the provocative question: Does this acquisition make Socure a credit bureau?
Socure already does a lot of the same stuff that the big three credit bureaus do: identity verification, KYC/AML, fraud detection (especially first-party fraud), and risk scoring and decisioning (building on its acquisition of Effectiv). However, all of those things are ancillary, value-added activities wrapped around a credit bureau’s core job: assembling and evaluating loan repayment data to help companies make credit (or other permissible purpose) decisions.
Now, with the acquisition of Qlarifi, Socure has a “consumer credit database” that likely provides visibility into consumers’ open BNPL loans, outstanding balances, repayment history, usage patterns, and loan stacking behavior. Assuming this data from Qlarifi is robust (not a safe assumption!), combining it with Socure’s identity verification and fraud detection capabilities would create two interesting opportunities: -
Socure could become the obvious risk decisioning partner for pay-in-4 BNPL providers. The pitch would be something like, “Use us to verify new customers’ identities and to coordinate the data-sharing necessary to identify loan stacking and first-party fraud.” Established BNPL providers with their own risk decisioning tech stacks could integrate with Socure just to acquire and share data. Newer providers could, if they chose, leverage Socure’s risk decisioning technology as well.
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Socure could become the default mechanism through which pay-in-4 BNPL providers (if they choose) share insights on their customers’ credit performance with other lenders. They could do this by either A.) Becoming a specialty credit bureau directly (complying with the FCRA’s requirements for a consumer reporting agency) that lenders access alongside the traditional bureaus (this has been a model that other specialty lending verticals like payday lending have used in the past), or B.) Becoming the aggregation and furnishing layer for pay-in-4 BNPL providers to the traditional credit bureaus (kinda like Bloom Credit for pay-in-4 BNPL).
The first opportunity seems very doable, given the existing relationships that Socure and Qlarifi likely have in the BNPL industry.
The second opportunity is the big one. Socure could work to address the good-faith concerns that the BNPL companies have with furnishing their data to the credit bureaus (i.e., they’re not set up to accept real-time data feeds, the structure of pay-in-4 BNPL loans doesn’t fit neatly in existing tradeline types or scoring models, etc.) while signaling to regulators that the BNPL industry treats concerns about debt stacking and data visibility seriously. Door A would come with great compliance costs and regulatory scrutiny, and it wouldn’t slot neatly into other lenders’ existing risk decisioning systems and workflows, but it would likely be the cleanest fit with how Qlarifi currently works and would provide Socure with the best unit economics. Door B would avoid the burden of being an FCRA-regulated CRA and would still allow BNPL companies to exercise a level of control over how their data is assembled and evaluated by the traditional bureaus and FICO, but it would be less profitable and would likely require more changes to the Socure/Qlarifi tech stack (as well as getting the traditional credit bureaus on board … though perhaps Qlarifi has already gotten a start on this?). In either case, Socure could sweeten the deal for the pay-in-4 BNPL providers by offering to pay them for their data and/or giving them some equity in Socure (either through a new fundraising round for the parent company or by spinning out a subsidiary).
Socure’s odds of success in pursuing this second opportunity (if that is, indeed, what it is planning to do) will depend heavily on how successful Qlarifi has been in establishing data-sharing relationships with the big pay-in-4 BNPL providers (Editor’s Note — BNPL providers like Affirm that specialize in longer-term installment loans are already working to furnish data to the traditional credit bureaus). I have no idea how successful Qlarifi has been, to date, in laying this groundwork, but Socure obviously saw enough to make this bet.
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Sony is planning to launch a stablecoin: Sony Bank plans to issue a stablecoin in the U.S. as early as the fiscal year 2026, the Nikkei reported on Monday. The online banking arm of Sony Financial Group, which was spun out of the electronics giant this year, envisages the USD-pegged stablecoin being used to pay for games and anime, according to the report. |
I’m trying to stay as open-minded as possible regarding stablecoins. Much of the stablecoin news these days seems designed to elicit a bullish response from investors, rather than to solve real problems for businesses or their customers (which makes me naturally bearish!) However, a few make more sense, at least conceptually.
Sony is one such example. First, a couple of relevant details: -
Sony is a massive Japanese conglomerate that made more than $80 billion in revenue last year. One of its best-known products is the PlayStation, but it does a lot more than gaming, including music, movies, TV, and electronics. It also, until recently, owned a Japanese bank (Sony Financial Group), which it spun off into its own separate company earlier this year.
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According to reports, Sony has filed an application with the OCC to start its own U.S. national trust bank — Connectia Trust — which would be the issuer of Sony’s USD-backed, GENIUS-compliant stablecoin. It is also planning to work with Bastion, a stablecoin infrastructure company, on the underlying plumbing and ops (issuance, redemption, ledgering, compliance, etc.)
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This news isn’t coming out of nowhere. Sony has had a long-standing interest in crypto and stablecoins and has been working on a number of pilot projects (a yen-backed stablecoin, an Ethereum-compatible L2, etc.) over the last few years.
Second, and more importantly, why does this news (potentially) make sense?
Let’s focus on the PlayStation ecosystem in the U.S., since that is (reportedly) one of the major priorities behind this initiative. Today, PlayStation customers have the option to either make digital purchases using a linked payment mechanism (credit card, debit card, digital wallet, gift card, etc.) or use those same mechanisms to fund a stored value account (the PlayStation Store Wallet) and then use the funds from the wallet to make purchases.
Today, that second option is mostly used by parents, who set up a master wallet with permissioned sub-accounts for their kids. However, there’s no reason why Sony couldn’t push the PlayStation Store Wallet option — now funded with the Sony USD-backed stablecoin — harder, if it wanted to, including finding a way around the GENIUS Act’s porous prohibition on offering yield. Pushing customers to fund their PlayStation Store Wallets with the Sony stablecoin would have several benefits, including: -
Cutting down on interchange and other fees paid to card issuers and external digital wallet providers.
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Reducing the friction associated with game purchases, in-game purchases, and P2P transfers (i.e., consumers tend to think about spending out of a stored value account differently than they do out of a bank account or credit card).
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Bringing more liquidity into the Sony ecosystem and making that liquidity more easily transferable across different Sony services and products, such as Crunchyroll (Sony’s anime streaming service).
Essentially, stablecoins have the potential to supercharge closed-loop payment ecosystems (James Wester was one of the first to point out this possibility, which he explains in more detail on this podcast), and Sony is a great candidate for this specific value proposition.
And, of course, a global company of Sony’s size also has a lot of other ‘nice-to-have’ benefits of issuing its own stablecoin, including internal treasury management (which I talk more about, in relation to Klarna’s stablecoin plans, here) and cross-border payments (Sony Financial Group already does a decent amount of this for customers).
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2 READING RECOMMENDATIONS |
Here at Fintech Takes, we’ve been trying to warn folks for a while about the bankruptcy treatment of stablecoin holders under GENIUS.
In case you need more context on this concern, Adam has you covered! |
Between Erebor, N3XT, and now this, we are seeing a pretty clear trend of banks (state and federally chartered) pivoting hard into crypto. |
Consumers aren’t loyal to payment methods; they’re loyal to outcomes. 1 in 4 tactically switched how they paid in the last six months (credit, debit, BNPL, cash). See what issuers should build next. * this rec is brought to you by one of our fantastic brand partners |
There are a TON of interesting questions being asked in the Fintech Takes Network. I’ll share one question, sourced from the Network, each week. However, if you’d like to join the conversation, please apply to join the Fintech Takes Network. Do we think N3XT (which is basically Signature Bank, reborn as a Wyoming special purpose depository institution) will be able to acquire a Fed Master Account? If you have any thoughts on this question, reply to this email or DM me in the Fintech Takes Network! |
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Thanks for the read! Let me know what you thought by replying back to this email. — Alex |
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